Wall Street ready for war? And I don’t mean a tug-of-war between the bulls and the bears. The Trump Administration, despite campaign promises, on the contrary, shows signs that she is ready to flex its military muscles with almost reckless abandon.In fact, while it is quite difficult not to remain silent in the Wake of the chemical attacks on the innocent children in Syria, the dismissal of 59 Tomahawk cruise missiles at a Syrian airport is likely to reduce the suffering of the Syrian people, without any further intervention.
Similar to battle-fleet to move, in the waters off North Korea, and very close to China the kind of sabre rattling may lead to war. The administration has said it is ready to use pre-emptive force against North Korea, to test the continue, ballistic missiles and probably nuclear weapons.
On Tuesday morning, Trump continues his saber-rattling on Twitter:
Under a different administration, one filled with experienced experts in foreign policy, diplomatic resources, and a deliberative process, such maneuvers sound could be considered as a strategically- … if properly understood by large enemies such as Russia, or “frenemies” like China.
Clearly no one in this government, reading, military history, or the warnings of military strategists like Sun-Tzu or Clausewitz. Without a political solution instead of military force should never be used, as both a means and an end.
U.S. Navy guided-missile destroyer USS Porter (DDG 78), strike operations, while in the Mediterranean, said the U.S. Department of defense, was part of a cruise-missile strike against Syria on 7. April 2017.
Syria, air strike, does not change the reality on the ground: PJ Crowley
Monday 10 Apr 2017 | 8:04 PM ET | 03:44
Both Napoleon and Hitler fought on “two fronts war” ended, fortunately, in humiliating defeats. The Trump management of vaccinated already, to such precedents, political, and military demands, a strategy of unpredictability, a shrewd and cunning makes it the adversary.
However, for that to be true in the nuclear age, and unpredictability are supported by heavy-back-channel negotiations, the clear U.S. intentions and win the support of allies and opponents alike. The risks are simply too high to shoot from the hip.
Urges Russia and Iran into a corner on Syria will not necessarily lead to a sudden transition of Moscow and Tehran on the road to Damascus. They are holed up in there, and the support for the Assad regime may not pass, unless the United States has the support of NATO, the U. N. and others that offer incentives lead to an exit strategy for the multi-generations of the regime. Without that, fighting Assad in Syria can easily move to a proxy-war with Russia, a real war with our chief adversary.
In North Korea the same problem, although instead of using “only” chemical weapons-cornered, Kim Jong-Un, could easily send a nuclear warhead across the border in the heavily populated South of the Korean Peninsula.
There is no doubt that China, as it was in the past decades, will be an immediate adversary, as the border is overrun by North Korean refugees. Japan, Russia, and other heavily populated Asian Nations are on high alert, escalating the danger of a much larger conflict quickly.
Wall Street seems to dance past the global graveyard without so much as a passing thought. And, it is true, it is a worst-case scenario for this new administration.
Having said that, in the first 80 or so, the days of Trump management, strategic thinking, positive strategies for the national and international fronts seem to go.
The new President seems to be of little use to the threat analysis and the consideration of unintended consequences.
Because he would rather see than read, he should perhaps show the Film “war Games.” At the very end, with global thermo-nuclear war on the countdown clock, the computer, not start codes, the third world war begin to decide, because it is a game in which nobody wins.
If the White house will not screen the Film, I really hope that someone on Wall Street.
Although it is often a fool’s errand to predict the timing, size and impact of the geo-political crisis, it seems that the risks of one, or more, can the horizon of the event.
Simultaneous conflicts with Syria (read: Russia) and North Korea (read China), a set of dangerous questions for the world, obviously. But a dual-duel, the bears could control the stock market and put the bull back in years.
Baer, history shows, often by two things, the rising interest rates and the outbreak of the war. The Fed is certainly on the path of raising rates. If, Yes, war is a serious danger, then Wall Street in the teeth of the bear, while the world is in the teeth of an even more fearsome monster.